Investments are made by evaluating underlying value. Speculative bets are made by looking at the price of something and simply hoping the price goes up. Investing is about value; gambling is about price.
Gold has no real underlying value. I know there is a market for it. I know it is real, just like real estate was real in 2007.
But what is the value of a bar of gold?
It has no value except the one assigned by a herd of speculators. This is true for most commodities. They don’t actually produce anything. They are raw material. No value. No dividend. No cash flow.
When you’re on the same side as Beck and TV pitchmen and there is GS and Soros on the other side of the bet, you are the dumb money.