Gradual Trends and Extreme Events

I’ve spent a lot of the last several days reading about climate change, extreme weather events, food prices, and so on. And one thing that became clear to me is that there’s widespread misunderstanding of the relationship between the gradual trend of rising temperatures and the extreme weather events that have become so much more common.

From Krugman

Professor Krugman does a good job explaining probability distribution and how it relates to climate change predictions. Worth a read.